






SMM Morning Tin Meeting Summary on July 7, 2025
On the international macro front, the US Congress approved comprehensive tax and budget legislation, with the EV tax credit set to expire on September 30, which will have a certain impact on the NEV industry. Additionally, US Treasury Secretary Bentsen indicated that trade agreements would be signed intensively before July 9, potentially bringing uncertainty to the global trade environment. Domestically, the overall supply of tin ore in the market is tightening, with continuous supply constraints in major producing areas such as Yunnan. Some smelters plan to halt production for maintenance or slightly cut production. On the demand side, after the installation rush in the PV industry ends, orders decline. The electronics industry enters the off-season, and there is a strong wait-and-see sentiment among end-users, who only maintain just-in-time procurement. Demand in other sectors, such as tinplate and chemicals, remains stable. The spot market is sluggish, with downstream enterprises adopting a wait-and-see attitude towards current prices. Social inventory is experiencing a slight buildup, and in the short term, the inventory buildup pressure is likely to persist. Overall, it is expected that tin prices will continue to trade sideways at a high level this week. Investors should pay close attention to the progress of production resumptions in Myanmar, the seasonal recovery of end-use demand, and changes in macro policies, and operate cautiously.
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